Election Groupings
Federal Race Outcomes November 2026
Federal Race Outcomes November 2026 · November 2026 · Trading open
$6.5K vol.
About this market
Traders price Senate-D, House-D at 69%, ahead of Senate-R, House-D at 31%.
The market has $6.5K in volume across 413 trades; the most recent was on Oct 24, 2026.
Trading closes on Jan 7, 2027. The result is confirmed by United States Congress.
The outcome of the Senate, House, and Presidential elections, specifically denoting the political party that attains control of each respective branch as reported by the United States Congress.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Senate-D, House-DResolves Yes if the Democrats wins the Senate and House in the 2026 election.
- Senate-R, House-DResolves Yes if the Republicans wins the Senate and Democrats win the House in the 2026 election.
- Senate-R, House-RResolves Yes if the Republicans wins the Senate and House in the 2026 election.
- Senate-D, House-RResolves Yes if the Democrats wins the Senate and Republicans win the House in the 2026 election.
Result confirmed by United States Congress.
- Trading opened
- Oct 10, 2025
- Trading closes
- Jan 7, 2027
- Expected result
- Jan 7, 2027
- Expected payout
- Jan 7, 2027
More Federal Race Outcomes markets
Other dates in this series
+6 more · 60 open interest
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.