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Who will win the Arizona 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?

AZ-01 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

Amish Shah82%
Jay Feely17%
$4.2K vol.

About this market

Traders price Amish Shah at 82% to win, ahead of Jay Feely at 17%.

The market has $4.2K in volume across 94 trades; the most recent was on Oct 23, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 23, 2026. The result is confirmed by Arizona Secretary of State Elections Division.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in Arizona 1st District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Amish ShahResolves Yes if Amish Shah wins the Arizona 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
  • Jay FeelyResolves Yes if Jay Feely wins the Arizona 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.

Result confirmed by Arizona Secretary of State Elections Division.

Trading opened
Jan 23, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 23, 2026
Expected result
Nov 23, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 23, 2026

More Arizona elections

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.