House

DE-AL General Election November 3 2026

DE-AL General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

$532 vol.

About this market

Traders price Sarah McBride at 93%.

The market has $532 in volume across 6 trades; the most recent was on Sep 2, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 5, 2026. The result is confirmed by Delaware Office of the State Election Commissioner.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in Delaware's at-large District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Sarah McBrideResolves Yes if Sarah McBride wins the Delaware at-large District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
  • Joseph ArminioResolves Yes if Joseph Arminio wins the Delaware 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.

Result confirmed by Delaware Office of the State Election Commissioner.

Trading opened
Jan 26, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 5, 2026
Expected result
Nov 5, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 5, 2026

More Delaware elections

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.