House
Who will win the Hawaii 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
HI-01 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open
$1.6K vol.
About this market
Traders price Ed Case at 98% to win.
The market has $1.6K in volume across 20 trades; the most recent was on Sep 8, 2026.
Trading closes on Nov 23, 2026. The result is confirmed by Hawaii Office of Elections.
This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in Hawaii 1st District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Ed CaseResolves Yes if Ed Case wins the Hawaii 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
- Adriel LamResolves Yes if Adriel Lam wins the Hawaii 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
Result confirmed by Hawaii Office of Elections.
- Trading opened
- Jan 23, 2026
- Trading closes
- Nov 23, 2026
- Expected result
- Nov 23, 2026
- Expected payout
- Nov 23, 2026
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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.