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Who will win the Iowa 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?

IA-01 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

Christina Bohannan89%
Mariannette Miller-Meeks12%
$2.1K vol.

About this market

Traders price Christina Bohannan at 89% to win, ahead of Mariannette Miller-Meeks at 12%.

The market has $2.1K in volume across 57 trades; the most recent was on Oct 15, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 30, 2026. The result is confirmed by Iowa Secretary of State.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in Iowa 1st District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Christina BohannanResolves Yes if Christina Bohannan wins the Iowa 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
  • Mariannette Miller-MeeksResolves Yes if Mariannette Miller-Meeks wins the Iowa 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.

Result confirmed by Iowa Secretary of State.

Trading opened
Jan 23, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 30, 2026
Expected result
Nov 30, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 30, 2026

More Iowa elections

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.