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Who will win the Indiana 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?

IN-01 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

Frank Mrvan93%
Barb Regnitz8%
$525 vol.

About this market

Traders price Frank Mrvan at 93% to win, ahead of Barb Regnitz at 8%.

The market has $525 in volume across 8 trades; the most recent was on Oct 18, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 24, 2026. The result is confirmed by Indiana Secretary of State Election Division.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in Indiana 1st District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Frank MrvanResolves Yes if Frank Mrvan wins the Indiana 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
  • Barb RegnitzResolves Yes if Barb Regnitz wins the Indiana 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.

Result confirmed by Indiana Secretary of State Election Division.

Trading opened
Jan 23, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 24, 2026
Expected result
Nov 24, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 24, 2026

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.