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Who will win the Louisiana 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?

LA-01 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

Steve Scalise94%
Lauren Jewett6%
$525 vol.

About this market

Traders price Steve Scalise at 94% to win, ahead of Lauren Jewett at 6%.

The market has $525 in volume across 12 trades; the most recent was on Sep 18, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 17, 2026. The result is confirmed by Louisiana Secretary of State Elections Division.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in Louisiana 1st District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Steve ScaliseResolves Yes if Steve Scalise wins the Louisiana 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
  • Lauren JewettResolves Yes if Lauren Jewett wins the Louisiana 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.

Result confirmed by Louisiana Secretary of State Elections Division.

Trading opened
Jan 23, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 17, 2026
Expected result
Nov 17, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 17, 2026

More Louisiana elections

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.