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Who will win the Maine 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?

ME-01 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

$395 vol.

About this market

Traders price Chellie Pingree at 90% to win.

The market has $395 in volume across 5 trades; the most recent was on Sep 25, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 23, 2026. The result is confirmed by Maine Secretary of State Elections Bureau.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in Maine 1st District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Chellie PingreeResolves Yes if Chellie Pingree wins the Maine 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
  • Ronald RussellResolves Yes if Ronald Russell wins the Maine 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.

Result confirmed by Maine Secretary of State Elections Bureau.

Trading opened
Jan 23, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 23, 2026
Expected result
Nov 23, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 23, 2026

More Maine elections

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.