Who will win the Missouri 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
MO-01 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open
About this market
Traders price Wesley Bell at 96% to win.
The market has $3.2K in volume across 47 trades; the most recent was on Oct 22, 2026.
Trading closes on Dec 8, 2026. The result is confirmed by Missouri Secretary of State Elections.
This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in Missouri 1st District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Wesley BellResolves Yes if Wesley Bell wins the Missouri 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
- Paul Berry IIIResolves Yes if Paul Berry III wins the Missouri 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
Result confirmed by Missouri Secretary of State Elections.
- Trading opened
- Jan 23, 2026
- Trading closes
- Dec 8, 2026
- Expected result
- Dec 8, 2026
- Expected payout
- Dec 8, 2026
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.