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Who will win the Nebraska 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?

NE-01 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

Mike Flood83%
Chris Backemeyer14%
$290 vol.

About this market

Traders price Mike Flood at 83% to win, ahead of Chris Backemeyer at 14%.

The market has $290 in volume across 9 trades; the most recent was on Oct 22, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 30, 2026. The result is confirmed by Nebraska Secretary of State.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in Nebraska 1st District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Mike FloodResolves Yes if Mike Flood wins the Nebraska 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
  • Chris BackemeyerResolves Yes if Chris Backemeyer wins the Nebraska 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
  • Austin AhlmanResolves Yes if Austin Ahlman wins the Nebraska 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.

Result confirmed by Nebraska Secretary of State.

Trading opened
Jan 23, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 30, 2026
Expected result
Nov 30, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 30, 2026

More Nebraska elections

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.