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Who will win the Utah 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?

UT-01 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

Ben McAdams99%
Riley Owen9%
$2.5K vol.

About this market

Traders price Ben McAdams at 99% to win, ahead of Riley Owen at 9%.

The market has $2.5K in volume across 64 trades; the most recent was on Oct 23, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 30, 2026. The result is confirmed by Utah Lieutenant Governor Elections Office.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in Utah 1st District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Ben McAdamsResolves Yes if Ben McAdams wins the Utah 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
  • Riley OwenResolves Yes if Riley Owen wins the Utah 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.

Result confirmed by Utah Lieutenant Governor Elections Office.

Trading opened
Jan 23, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 30, 2026
Expected result
Nov 30, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 30, 2026

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.