Who will win the Arizona 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
AZ-02 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open
About this market
Traders price Eli Crane at 67% to win, ahead of Jonathan Nez at 30%.
The market has $1.8K in volume across 54 trades; the most recent was on Oct 23, 2026.
Trading closes on Nov 23, 2026. The result is confirmed by Arizona Secretary of State Elections Division.
This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in Arizona 2nd District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Eli CraneResolves Yes if Eli Crane wins the Arizona 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
- Jonathan NezResolves Yes if Jonathan Nez wins the Arizona 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
Result confirmed by Arizona Secretary of State Elections Division.
- Trading opened
- Jan 23, 2026
- Trading closes
- Nov 23, 2026
- Expected result
- Nov 23, 2026
- Expected payout
- Nov 23, 2026
More Arizona elections
15.5K open interest
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.