Open an account
House

Who will win the Hawaii 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?

HI-02 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

Jill Tokuda97%
Brenton Awa3%
$989 vol.

About this market

Traders price Jill Tokuda at 97% to win, ahead of Brenton Awa at 3%.

The market has $989 in volume across 19 trades; the most recent was on Sep 18, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 23, 2026. The result is confirmed by Hawaii Office of Elections.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in Hawaii 2nd District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Jill TokudaResolves Yes if Jill Tokuda wins the Hawaii 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
  • Brenton AwaResolves Yes if Brenton Awa wins the Hawaii 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.

Result confirmed by Hawaii Office of Elections.

Trading opened
Jan 23, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 23, 2026
Expected result
Nov 23, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 23, 2026

More Hawaii elections

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.