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Who will win the Idaho 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?

ID-02 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

$622 vol.

About this market

Traders price Mike Simpson at 93% to win.

The market has $622 in volume across 7 trades; the most recent was on Sep 18, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 24, 2026. The result is confirmed by Idaho Secretary of State Elections Division.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in Idaho 2nd District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Mike SimpsonResolves Yes if Mike Simpson wins the Idaho 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
  • Elinor GilbreathResolves Yes if Elinor Gilbreath wins the Idaho 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.

Result confirmed by Idaho Secretary of State Elections Division.

Trading opened
Jan 23, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 24, 2026
Expected result
Nov 24, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 24, 2026

More Idaho elections

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.