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Who will win the Maine 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?

ME-02 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

Paul LePage61%
Matt Dunlap38%
$604 vol.

About this market

Traders price Paul LePage at 61% to win, ahead of Matt Dunlap at 38%.

The market has $604 in volume across 12 trades; the most recent was on Oct 23, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 23, 2026. The result is confirmed by Maine Secretary of State Elections Bureau.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in Maine 2nd District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Paul LePageResolves Yes if Paul LePage wins the Maine 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
  • Matt DunlapResolves Yes if Matt Dunlap wins the Maine 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.

Result confirmed by Maine Secretary of State Elections Bureau.

Trading opened
Jan 23, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 23, 2026
Expected result
Nov 23, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 23, 2026

More Maine elections

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.