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Who will win the Missouri 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?

MO-02 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

Ann Wagner69%
Frederick Wellman28%
$692 vol.

About this market

Traders price Ann Wagner at 69% to win, ahead of Frederick Wellman at 28%.

The market has $692 in volume across 26 trades; the most recent was on Oct 23, 2026.

Trading closes on Dec 8, 2026. The result is confirmed by Missouri Secretary of State Elections.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in Missouri 2nd District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Ann WagnerResolves Yes if Ann Wagner wins the Missouri 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
  • Frederick WellmanResolves Yes if Frederick Wellman wins the Missouri 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.

Result confirmed by Missouri Secretary of State Elections.

Trading opened
Jan 23, 2026
Trading closes
Dec 8, 2026
Expected result
Dec 8, 2026
Expected payout
Dec 8, 2026

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.