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Who will win the New York 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?

NY-02 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

Andrew Garbarino78%
Pat Halpin16%
$670 vol.

About this market

Traders price Andrew Garbarino at 78% to win, ahead of Pat Halpin at 16%.

The market has $670 in volume across 10 trades; the most recent was on Oct 23, 2026.

Trading closes on Dec 7, 2026. The result is confirmed by New York State Board of Elections.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in New York 2nd District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Andrew GarbarinoResolves Yes if Andrew Garbarino wins the New York 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
  • Pat HalpinResolves Yes if Pat Halpin wins the New York 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.

Result confirmed by New York State Board of Elections.

Trading opened
Jan 23, 2026
Trading closes
Dec 7, 2026
Expected result
Dec 7, 2026
Expected payout
Dec 7, 2026

More New York elections

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.