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Who will win the Wisconsin 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?

WI-02 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

Mark Pocan91%
Erik Olsen6%
$462 vol.

About this market

Traders price Mark Pocan at 91% to win, ahead of Erik Olsen at 6%.

The market has $462 in volume across 16 trades; the most recent was on Oct 21, 2026.

Trading closes on Dec 1, 2026. The result is confirmed by Wisconsin Elections Commission.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in Wisconsin 2nd District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Mark PocanResolves Yes if Mark Pocan wins the Wisconsin 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
  • Erik OlsenResolves Yes if Erik Olsen wins the Wisconsin 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.

Result confirmed by Wisconsin Elections Commission.

Trading opened
Jan 23, 2026
Trading closes
Dec 1, 2026
Expected result
Dec 1, 2026
Expected payout
Dec 1, 2026

More Wisconsin elections

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.