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Who will win the Kentucky 3rd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?

KY-03 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

Morgan McGarvey93%
Maria Rodriguez8%
$973 vol.

About this market

Traders price Morgan McGarvey at 93% to win, ahead of Maria Rodriguez at 8%.

The market has $973 in volume across 14 trades; the most recent was on Oct 16, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 23, 2026. The result is confirmed by Kentucky Secretary of State.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in Kentucky 3rd District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Morgan McGarveyResolves Yes if Morgan McGarvey wins the Kentucky 3rd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
  • Maria RodriguezResolves Yes if Maria Rodriguez wins the Kentucky 3rd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.

Result confirmed by Kentucky Secretary of State.

Trading opened
Jan 23, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 23, 2026
Expected result
Nov 23, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 23, 2026

More Kentucky elections

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.