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Who will win the Arizona 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?

AZ-04 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

Greg Stanton93%
Zuhdi Jasser6%
$677 vol.

About this market

Traders price Greg Stanton at 93% to win, ahead of Zuhdi Jasser at 6%.

The market has $677 in volume across 10 trades; the most recent was on Sep 18, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 23, 2026. The result is confirmed by Arizona Secretary of State Elections Division.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in Arizona 4th District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Greg StantonResolves Yes if Greg Stanton wins the Arizona 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
  • Zuhdi JasserResolves Yes if Zuhdi Jasser wins the Arizona 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.

Result confirmed by Arizona Secretary of State Elections Division.

Trading opened
Jan 23, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 23, 2026
Expected result
Nov 23, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 23, 2026

More Arizona elections

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.