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Who will win the Connecticut 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?

CT-04 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

$999 vol.

About this market

Traders price Jim Himes at 98% to win.

The market has $999 in volume across 13 trades; the most recent was on Sep 8, 2026.

Trading closes on Dec 21, 2026. The result is confirmed by Connecticut Secretary of the State Elections Division.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in Connecticut 4th District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Jim HimesResolves Yes if Jim Himes wins the Connecticut 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
  • Michael GoldsteinResolves Yes if Michael Goldstein wins the Connecticut 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.

Result confirmed by Connecticut Secretary of the State Elections Division.

Trading opened
Jan 23, 2026
Trading closes
Dec 21, 2026
Expected result
Dec 21, 2026
Expected payout
Dec 21, 2026

More Connecticut elections

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.