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Who will win the Iowa 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?

IA-04 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

Chris McGowan93%
Dave Dawson6%
$31 vol.

About this market

Traders price Chris McGowan at 93% to win, ahead of Dave Dawson at 6%.

The market has $31 in volume across 7 trades; the most recent was on Jul 11, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 30, 2026. The result is confirmed by Iowa Secretary of State.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in Iowa 4th District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Chris McGowanResolves Yes if Chris McGowan wins the Iowa 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
  • Dave DawsonResolves Yes if Dave Dawson wins the Iowa 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.

Result confirmed by Iowa Secretary of State.

Trading opened
Apr 18, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 30, 2026
Expected result
Nov 30, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 30, 2026

More Iowa elections

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.