Open an account
House

Who will win the Kansas 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?

KS-04 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

$438 vol.

About this market

Traders price Ron Estes at 89% to win.

The market has $438 in volume across 5 trades; the most recent was on Oct 21, 2026.

Trading closes on Dec 1, 2026. The result is confirmed by Kansas Secretary of State Elections Division.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in Kansas 4th District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Ron EstesResolves Yes if Ron Estes wins the Kansas 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
  • Katy TyndellResolves Yes if Katy Tyndell wins the Kansas 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.

Result confirmed by Kansas Secretary of State Elections Division.

Trading opened
Jan 23, 2026
Trading closes
Dec 1, 2026
Expected result
Dec 1, 2026
Expected payout
Dec 1, 2026

More Kansas elections

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.