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Who will win the Kentucky 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?

KY-04 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

Ed Gallrein92%
Melissa Strange11%
$173 vol.

About this market

Traders price Ed Gallrein at 92% to win, ahead of Melissa Strange at 11%.

The market has $173 in volume across 8 trades; the most recent was on Aug 5, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 23, 2026. The result is confirmed by Kentucky Secretary of State.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in Kentucky 4th District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Ed GallreinResolves Yes if Ed Gallrein wins the Kentucky 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
  • Melissa StrangeResolves Yes if Melissa Strange wins the Kentucky 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.

Result confirmed by Kentucky Secretary of State.

Trading opened
Feb 27, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 23, 2026
Expected result
Nov 23, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 23, 2026

More Kentucky elections

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.