House
Who will win the Louisiana 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
LA-04 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open
Mike Johnson88%
Conrad Cable6%$309 vol.
About this market
Traders price Mike Johnson at 88% to win, ahead of Conrad Cable at 6%.
The market has $309 in volume across 8 trades; the most recent was on Oct 14, 2026.
Trading closes on Nov 17, 2026. The result is confirmed by Louisiana Secretary of State Elections Division.
This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in Louisiana 4th District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Mike JohnsonResolves Yes if Mike Johnson wins the Louisiana 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
- Conrad CableResolves Yes if Conrad Cable wins the Louisiana 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
Result confirmed by Louisiana Secretary of State Elections Division.
- Trading opened
- Jan 23, 2026
- Trading closes
- Nov 17, 2026
- Expected result
- Nov 17, 2026
- Expected payout
- Nov 17, 2026
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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.