Who will win the South Carolina 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
SC-04 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open
About this market
Traders price William Timmons at 90% to win, ahead of Courtney McClain at 12%.
The market has $363 in volume across 8 trades; the most recent was on Oct 21, 2026.
Trading closes on Nov 28, 2026. The result is confirmed by South Carolina State Election Commission.
This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in South Carolina 4th District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- William TimmonsResolves Yes if William Timmons wins the South Carolina 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
- Courtney McClainResolves Yes if Courtney McClain wins the South Carolina 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
Result confirmed by South Carolina State Election Commission.
- Trading opened
- Jan 23, 2026
- Trading closes
- Nov 28, 2026
- Expected result
- Nov 28, 2026
- Expected payout
- Nov 28, 2026
More South Carolina elections
410 open interest 825 open interestSouth Carolina Senate General Election
Closes Nov 28, 2026
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.