House
Who will win the Utah 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
UT-04 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open
Mike Kennedy88%
Jonathan Larsen11%$124 vol.
About this market
Traders price Mike Kennedy at 88% to win, ahead of Jonathan Larsen at 11%.
The market has $124 in volume across 4 trades; the most recent was on Apr 15, 2026.
Trading closes on Nov 30, 2026. The result is confirmed by Utah Lieutenant Governor Elections Office.
This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in Utah 4th District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Mike KennedyResolves Yes if Mike Kennedy wins the Utah 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
- Jonathan LarsenResolves Yes if Jonathan Larsen wins the Utah 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
Result confirmed by Utah Lieutenant Governor Elections Office.
- Trading opened
- Jan 23, 2026
- Trading closes
- Nov 30, 2026
- Expected result
- Nov 30, 2026
- Expected payout
- Nov 30, 2026
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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.