House
Who will win the Connecticut 5th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
CT-05 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open
Jahana Hayes94%
Chris Shea4%$364 vol.
About this market
Traders price Jahana Hayes at 94% to win, ahead of Chris Shea at 4%.
The market has $364 in volume across 6 trades; the most recent was on Aug 24, 2026.
Trading closes on Dec 21, 2026. The result is confirmed by Connecticut Secretary of the State Elections Division.
This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in Connecticut 5th District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Jahana HayesResolves Yes if Jahana Hayes wins the Connecticut 5th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
- Chris SheaResolves Yes if Chris Shea wins the Connecticut 5th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
Result confirmed by Connecticut Secretary of the State Elections Division.
- Trading opened
- Jan 23, 2026
- Trading closes
- Dec 21, 2026
- Expected result
- Dec 21, 2026
- Expected payout
- Dec 21, 2026
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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.