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Who will win the Kentucky 6th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?

KY-06 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

Ralph Alvarado71%
Zach Dembo34%
$2.1K vol.

About this market

Traders price Ralph Alvarado at 71% to win, ahead of Zach Dembo at 34%.

The market has $2.1K in volume across 37 trades; the most recent was on Oct 23, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 23, 2026. The result is confirmed by Kentucky Secretary of State.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in Kentucky 6th District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Ralph AlvaradoResolves Yes if Ralph Alvarado wins the Kentucky 6th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
  • Zach DemboResolves Yes if Zach Dembo wins the Kentucky 6th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.

Result confirmed by Kentucky Secretary of State.

Trading opened
Jan 23, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 23, 2026
Expected result
Nov 23, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 23, 2026

More Kentucky elections

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.