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Who will win the Arizona 7th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?

AZ-07 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

Adelita Grijalva97%
Daniel Butierez3%
$859 vol.

About this market

Traders price Adelita Grijalva at 97% to win, ahead of Daniel Butierez at 3%.

The market has $859 in volume across 19 trades; the most recent was on Sep 18, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 23, 2026. The result is confirmed by Arizona Secretary of State Elections Division.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in Arizona 7th District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Adelita GrijalvaResolves Yes if Adelita Grijalva wins the Arizona 7th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
  • Daniel ButierezResolves Yes if Daniel Butierez wins the Arizona 7th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.

Result confirmed by Arizona Secretary of State Elections Division.

Trading opened
Jan 23, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 23, 2026
Expected result
Nov 23, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 23, 2026

More Arizona elections

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.