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Who will win the Indiana 8th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?

IN-08 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

Mark Messmer90%
Mary Allen10%
$501 vol.

About this market

Traders price Mark Messmer at 90% to win, ahead of Mary Allen at 10%.

The market has $501 in volume across 10 trades; the most recent was on Aug 3, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 24, 2026. The result is confirmed by Indiana Secretary of State Election Division.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in Indiana 8th District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Mark MessmerResolves Yes if Mark Messmer wins the Indiana 8th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
  • Mary AllenResolves Yes if Mary Allen wins the Indiana 8th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.

Result confirmed by Indiana Secretary of State Election Division.

Trading opened
Jan 23, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 24, 2026
Expected result
Nov 24, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 24, 2026

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.