Open an account
House

Who will win the Maryland 8th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?

MD-08 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

Jamie Raskin94%
Cheryl Riley6%
$630 vol.

About this market

Traders price Jamie Raskin at 94% to win, ahead of Cheryl Riley at 6%.

The market has $630 in volume across 16 trades; the most recent was on Jun 24, 2026.

Trading closes on Dec 3, 2026. The result is confirmed by Maryland State Board of Elections.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in Maryland 8th District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Jamie RaskinResolves Yes if Jamie Raskin wins the Maryland 8th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
  • Cheryl RileyResolves Yes if Cheryl Riley wins the Maryland 8th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.

Result confirmed by Maryland State Board of Elections.

Trading opened
Jan 23, 2026
Trading closes
Dec 3, 2026
Expected result
Dec 3, 2026
Expected payout
Dec 3, 2026

More Maryland elections

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.