House
Who will win the New York 12th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
NY-12 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open
No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.
About this market
No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.
Trading closes on Dec 7, 2026. The result is confirmed by New York State Board of Elections.
This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in New York 12th District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Caroline ShinkleResolves Yes if Caroline Shinkle wins the New York 12th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
- Micah LasherResolves Yes if Micah Lasher wins the New York 12th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
Result confirmed by New York State Board of Elections.
- Trading opened
- Apr 18, 2026
- Trading closes
- Dec 7, 2026
- Expected result
- Dec 7, 2026
- Expected payout
- Dec 7, 2026
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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.