House
Who will win the New York 22nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
NY-22 General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open
$449 vol.
About this market
Traders price John Mannion at 96% to win.
The market has $449 in volume across 5 trades; the most recent was on Oct 24, 2026.
Trading closes on Dec 7, 2026. The result is confirmed by New York State Board of Elections.
This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in New York 22nd District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- John MannionResolves Yes if John Mannion wins the New York 22nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
- Kailee BullerResolves Yes if Kailee Buller wins the New York 22nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
Result confirmed by New York State Board of Elections.
- Trading opened
- Jan 23, 2026
- Trading closes
- Dec 7, 2026
- Expected result
- Dec 7, 2026
- Expected payout
- Dec 7, 2026
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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.