Mayoral
Who will win the Los Angeles general election for mayor in 2026?
Los Angeles Mayoral General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open
Nithya Raman51%
Karen Bass47%
$60.9K vol.
About this market
Traders price Nithya Raman at 51% to win, ahead of Karen Bass at 47%.
The market has $60.9K in volume across 880 trades; the most recent was on Oct 24, 2026.
Trading closes on Dec 11, 2026. The result is confirmed by Los Angeles County Registrar-Recorder/County Clerk.
The winner of the General Election for Los Angeles Mayor is the candidate who receives the most votes on Election Day.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Nithya RamanResolves Yes if Nithya Raman wins the Los Angeles general election for mayor in 2026.
- Karen BassResolves Yes if Karen Bass wins the Los Angeles general election for mayor in 2026.
- Spencer PrattResolves Yes if Spencer Pratt wins the Los Angeles general election for mayor in 2026.
Result confirmed by Los Angeles County Registrar-Recorder/County Clerk.
- Trading opened
- Apr 30, 2026
- Trading closes
- Dec 11, 2026
- Expected result
- Dec 11, 2026
- Expected payout
- Dec 11, 2026
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.