Governor

Who will win the California general election for Governor in 2026?

California Governor General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

Xavier Becerra95%
Steve Hilton1%
$3.4K vol.

About this market

Traders price Xavier Becerra at 95% to win, ahead of Steve Hilton at 1%.

The market has $3.4K in volume across 243 trades; the most recent was on Oct 22, 2026.

Trading closes on Dec 11, 2026. The result is confirmed by California Secretary of State Elections Division.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for Governor in California, shaping state executive leadership.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Xavier BecerraResolves Yes if Xavier Becerra wins the California general election for Governor in 2026.
  • Steve HiltonResolves Yes if Steve Hilton wins the California general election for Governor in 2026.

Result confirmed by California Secretary of State Elections Division.

Trading opened
Mar 9, 2026
Trading closes
Dec 11, 2026
Expected result
Dec 11, 2026
Expected payout
Dec 11, 2026

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.