What will the lowest temperature in New York City (NYC)(LGA)(KLGA) be?
New York City Daily Temperature Low 2026 · Oct 24, 2026 · Trading open
- Below 49$31 vol.90%
- Below 44$2 vol.6%
- Below 45$6 vol.6%
- Below 48$151 vol.6%
- Below 46$25 vol.3%
- Below 47$42 vol.2%
- Below 39—
- Below 40—
About this market
Traders price Below 49 at 90%, ahead of Below 44 at 6%.
The market has $258 in volume across 74 trades; the most recent was on Oct 24, 2026.
Trading closes on Oct 25, 2026. The result is confirmed by Weather Underground.
The daily temperature low in New York City, NY as reported by the Weather Underground for the Laguardia Airport Station (KLGA).Disregard the large red and blue numbers at the top of the new Weather Underground website above the Observations table, as they are not the daily high and low temperatures used by Forecastex. Instead, click the green banner to access the old Weather Underground site and use the original summary table. Alternatively, use the Daily Observations table to identify the highest and lowest temperatures recorded that day. For more research and information on these markets, visit the Weather, Climate & Energy Analysis and Decision Support Website: https://weather.weatherclimatehumansystems.org/new-york-city-klga.html
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Below 49Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in New York City (NYC)(LGA)(KLGA) is below 49 F on October 24, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
- Below 44Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in New York City (NYC)(LGA)(KLGA) is below 44 F on October 24, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
- Below 45Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in New York City (NYC)(LGA)(KLGA) is below 45 F on October 24, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
- Below 48Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in New York City (NYC)(LGA)(KLGA) is below 48 F on October 24, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
- Below 46Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in New York City (NYC)(LGA)(KLGA) is below 46 F on October 24, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
- Below 47Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in New York City (NYC)(LGA)(KLGA) is below 47 F on October 24, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
Show rules for all 12 outcomesShow fewer
- Below 39Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in New York City (NYC)(LGA)(KLGA) is below 39 F on October 24, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
- Below 40Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in New York City (NYC)(LGA)(KLGA) is below 40 F on October 24, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
- Below 41Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in New York City (NYC)(LGA)(KLGA) is below 41 F on October 24, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
- Below 42Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in New York City (NYC)(LGA)(KLGA) is below 42 F on October 24, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
- Below 43Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in New York City (NYC)(LGA)(KLGA) is below 43 F on October 24, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
- Below 50Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in New York City (NYC)(LGA)(KLGA) is below 50 F on October 24, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
Result confirmed by Weather Underground.
- Trading opened
- Oct 23, 2026
- Trading closes
- Oct 25, 2026
- Expected result
- Oct 25, 2026
- Expected payout
- Oct 25, 2026
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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.