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Temperatures

What will the lowest temperature in Philadelphia (PHL)(KPHL) be?

Philadelphia Daily Temperature Low 2026 · Oct 25, 2026 · Trading open

$26 vol.
Show all 11 outcomes

About this market

Traders price Below 42 at 76%, ahead of Below 41 at 59%.

The market has $26 in volume across 7 trades; the most recent was on Oct 24, 2026.

Trading closes on Oct 26, 2026. The result is confirmed by Weather Underground.

The daily temperature low in Philadelphia, PA as reported by the Weather Underground for the Philadelphia Intl Airport Station (KPHL).Disregard the large red and blue numbers at the top of the new Weather Underground website above the Observations table, as they are not the daily high and low temperatures used by Forecastex. Instead, click the green banner to access the old Weather Underground site and use the original summary table. Alternatively, use the Daily Observations table to identify the highest and lowest temperatures recorded that day. For more research and information on these markets, visit the Weather, Climate & Energy Analysis and Decision Support Website: https://weather.weatherclimatehumansystems.org/philadelphia-kphl.html

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Below 42Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Philadelphia (PHL)(KPHL) is below 42 F on October 25, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 41Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Philadelphia (PHL)(KPHL) is below 41 F on October 25, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 40Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Philadelphia (PHL)(KPHL) is below 40 F on October 25, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 39Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Philadelphia (PHL)(KPHL) is below 39 F on October 25, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 38Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Philadelphia (PHL)(KPHL) is below 38 F on October 25, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 34Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Philadelphia (PHL)(KPHL) is below 34 F on October 25, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
Show rules for all 11 outcomes
  • Below 35Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Philadelphia (PHL)(KPHL) is below 35 F on October 25, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 36Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Philadelphia (PHL)(KPHL) is below 36 F on October 25, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 37Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Philadelphia (PHL)(KPHL) is below 37 F on October 25, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 43Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Philadelphia (PHL)(KPHL) is below 43 F on October 25, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 44Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Philadelphia (PHL)(KPHL) is below 44 F on October 25, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).

Result confirmed by Weather Underground.

Trading opened
Oct 24, 2026
Trading closes
Oct 26, 2026
Expected result
Oct 26, 2026
Expected payout
Oct 26, 2026

More Philadelphia Daily Temperature Low markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.