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Temperatures

What will the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) be?

San Francisco Daily Temperature Low 2026 · Oct 24, 2026 · Trading open

$150 vol.
Show all 11 outcomes

About this market

Traders price Below 56 at 97%, ahead of Below 55 at 93%.

The market has $150 in volume across 31 trades; the most recent was on Oct 24, 2026.

Trading closes on Oct 25, 2026. The result is confirmed by Weather Underground.

The daily temperature low in San Francisco, CA as reported by the Weather Underground for the San Francisco Intl Airport Station (KSFO).Disregard the large red and blue numbers at the top of the new Weather Underground website above the Observations table, as they are not the daily high and low temperatures used by Forecastex. Instead, click the green banner to access the old Weather Underground site and use the original summary table. Alternatively, use the Daily Observations table to identify the highest and lowest temperatures recorded that day. For more research and information on these markets, visit the Weather, Climate & Energy Analysis and Decision Support Website: https://weather.weatherclimatehumansystems.org/san-francisco-ksfo.html

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Below 56Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) is below 56 F on October 24, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 55Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) is below 55 F on October 24, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 53Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) is below 53 F on October 24, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 54Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) is below 54 F on October 24, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 52Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) is below 52 F on October 24, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 50Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) is below 50 F on October 24, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
Show rules for all 11 outcomes
  • Below 51Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) is below 51 F on October 24, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 47Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) is below 47 F on October 24, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 48Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) is below 48 F on October 24, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 49Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) is below 49 F on October 24, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 57Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) is below 57 F on October 24, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).

Result confirmed by Weather Underground.

Trading opened
Oct 23, 2026
Trading closes
Oct 25, 2026
Expected result
Oct 25, 2026
Expected payout
Oct 25, 2026

More San Francisco Daily Temperature Low markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.