Prediction markets
Odds on elections, the economy, weather and more, set by traders on Aries. Every market has its chance history, rules and timeline.
Midterms 2026Senate and House control, race ratings on the map, and every race in one place
2026 governor races
Chance of winning, from the latest trades
1.4K open interest 6.7K open interestAlaska Governor General Election
Closes Dec 3, 2026 15.5K open interestArizona Governor General Election
Closes Nov 23, 2026 2.1K open interestArkansas Governor General Election
Closes Dec 18, 2026 24.2K open interestCalifornia Governor General Election
Closes Dec 11, 2026 6.8K open interestColorado Governor General Election
Closes Nov 30, 2026 2.2K open interestConnecticut Governor General Election
Closes Dec 21, 2026 6.9K open interestFlorida Governor General Election
Closes Nov 17, 2026 3.7K open interestGeorgia Governor General Election
Closes Nov 20, 2026 800 open interestHawaii Governor General Election
Closes Nov 23, 2026 500 open interestIdaho Governor General Election
Closes Nov 24, 2026 2.7K open interestIllinois Governor General Election
Closes Dec 4, 2026 2.6K open interestIowa Governor General Election
Closes Nov 30, 2026 5.3K open interestKansas Governor General Election
Closes Dec 1, 2026 1.1K open interestMaine Governor General Election
Closes Nov 23, 2026 710 open interestMaryland Governor General Election
Closes Dec 3, 2026 1.1K open interestMassachusetts Governor General Election
Closes Nov 19, 2026 7.3K open interestMichigan Governor General Election
Closes Nov 23, 2026 21.2K open interestMinnesota Governor General Election
Closes Nov 19, 2026 850 open interestNebraska Governor General Election
Closes Nov 30, 2026 7.2K open interestNevada Governor General Election
Closes Dec 1, 2026 1.7K open interestNew Hampshire Governor General Election
Closes Nov 6, 2026 4.2K open interestNew Mexico Governor General Election
Closes Nov 24, 2026 1.7K open interestNew York Governor General Election
Closes Dec 7, 2026 18.4K open interestOhio Governor General Election
Closes Jan 10, 2027 1.7K open interestOklahoma Governor General Election
Closes Nov 6, 2026 994 open interestOregon Governor General Election
Closes Dec 10, 2026 1.9K open interestPennsylvania Governor General Election
Closes Nov 10, 2026 7.1K open interestRhode Island Governor General Election
Closes Nov 10, 2026 410 open interestSouth Carolina Governor General Election
Closes Nov 28, 2026 5.6K open interestSouth Dakota Governor General Election
Closes Nov 20, 2026 5.1K open interestTennessee Governor General Election
Closes Dec 5, 2026 1.9K open interestTexas Governor General Election
Closes Dec 6, 2026 1.5K open interestVermont Governor General Election
Closes Nov 12, 2026 4.6K open interestWisconsin Governor General Election
Closes Dec 1, 2026 2.7K open interestWyoming Governor General Election
Closes Dec 3, 2026
2026 Senate races
Chance of winning, from the latest trades
2.1K open interestAlabama Senate General Election
Closes Nov 25, 2026 9.4K open interestAlaska Senate General Election
Closes Dec 3, 2026 1.5K open interestArkansas Senate General Election
Closes Dec 18, 2026 1.8K open interestColorado Senate General Election
Closes Nov 30, 2026 1.7K open interestDelaware Senate General Election
Closes Nov 5, 2026 3.2K open interestGeorgia Senate General Election
Closes Nov 20, 2026 1K open interestIdaho Senate General Election
Closes Nov 24, 2026 460 open interestIllinois Senate General Election
Closes Dec 4, 2026 2.2K open interestIowa Senate General Election
Closes Nov 30, 2026 +4 more · 10 open interestJon Ossoff Margin of Victory in Georgia Senate General Election
Closes Nov 20, 2026 700 open interestKansas Senate General Election
Closes Dec 1, 2026 +5 more · 161 open interestKen Paxton Margin of Victory in Texas Senate General Election
Closes Dec 6, 2026 3.9K open interestKentucky Senate General Election
Closes Nov 23, 2026 13.3K open interestLouisiana Senate General Election
Closes Nov 17, 2026 8.9K open interestMaine Senate General Election
Closes Nov 23, 2026 2K open interestMassachusetts Senate General Election
Closes Nov 19, 2026 143.6K open interestMichigan Senate General Election
Closes Nov 23, 2026 2.1K open interestMinnesota Senate General Election
Closes Nov 19, 2026 1.9K open interestMississippi Senate General Election
Closes Dec 3, 2026 4.5K open interestMontana Senate General Election
Closes Nov 30, 2026 3.6K open interestNebraska Senate General Election
Closes Nov 30, 2026 5.6K open interestNew Hampshire Senate General Election
Closes Nov 6, 2026 1.9K open interestNew Jersey Senate General Election
Closes Dec 3, 2026 1.7K open interestNew Mexico Senate General Election
Closes Nov 24, 2026 8.7K open interestNorth Carolina Senate General Election
Closes Dec 4, 2026 9.8K open interestOklahoma Senate General Election
Closes Nov 6, 2026 1.4K open interestOregon Senate General Election
Closes Dec 10, 2026 1.5K open interestRhode Island Senate General Election
Closes Nov 10, 2026 825 open interestSouth Carolina Senate General Election
Closes Nov 28, 2026 340 open interestSouth Dakota Senate General Election
Closes Nov 20, 2026 1K open interestTennessee Senate General Election
Closes Dec 5, 2026 167.1K open interestTexas Senate General Election
Closes Dec 6, 2026 2.2K open interestVirginia Senate General Election
Closes Dec 8, 2026 2.6K open interestWest Virginia Senate General Election
Closes Dec 3, 2026 1.3K open interestWyoming Senate General Election
Closes Dec 3, 2026
Elections
Max Miller Withdrawal
Closes Oct 29, 2026 +2 more · 26.6K open interestFederal Race Outcomes
Closes Jan 7, 2027 18.4K open interestOhio Governor General Election
Closes Jan 10, 2027 2.7M open interestUS House of Representatives Control
Closes Jan 4, 2027 379.2K open interestUS Senate Majority
Closes Jan 4, 2027 2K open interestAK-AL General Election
Closes Dec 3, 2026 6.1K open interestAL-01 General Election
Closes Nov 25, 2026 9.8K open interestAL-02 General Election
Closes Nov 25, 2026
Economy
+7 moreAll New York Electricity Generation Sales Revenue
Closes Dec 22, 2026 +7 moreAll US Electricity Generation Sales Revenue
Closes Dec 22, 2026 +9 moreAverage Electricity Price for All Sectors
Closes Dec 22, 2026 +7 moreCalifornia Coal Electricity Generation
Closes Dec 22, 2026 +7 moreCalifornia Commercial Electricity Generation Sales Revenue
Closes Dec 22, 2026 +7 moreCalifornia Nuclear Energy Electricity Generation
Closes Dec 22, 2026 +7 moreCalifornia Renewable Energy Electricity Generation
Closes Dec 22, 2026 +8 moreCanada Consumer Price Index
Closes Nov 16, 2026
Finance
+13 moreAustralian Dollar to US Dollar Exchange Rate
Closes Oct 26, 2026 +17 moreBitcoin Price October 26 2026 at 12 PM CT
Closes Oct 26, 2026 +13 moreCanadian Dollar to US Dollar Exchange Rate
Closes Oct 26, 2026 +27 more · 236 open interestCopper Price
Closes Oct 26, 2026 +11 moreDogecoin Price October 26 2026 at 12 PM CT
Closes Oct 26, 2026 +11 moreEthereum Price October 26 2026 at 12 PM CT
Closes Oct 26, 2026 +14 more · 40 open interestEuro to US Dollar Exchange Rate
Closes Oct 26, 2026 +28 more · 341 open interestGold Price
Closes Oct 26, 2026
Climate
+1 more · 4.2K open interestAtlantic Major Hurricanes
Closes Oct 31, 2026 +5 moreChicago Average Monthly Temperature
Closes Nov 12, 2026 +3 moreChicago Monthly Rain
Closes Oct 31, 2026 +4 moreHouston Monthly Rain
Closes Oct 31, 2026 +5 moreLos Angeles Average Monthly Temperature
Closes Nov 12, 2026 +4 moreMiami Monthly Rain
Closes Oct 31, 2026 +3 moreMonthly Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide
Closes Nov 5, 2026 +9 moreMonthly Average Global Temperature
Closes Nov 12, 2026
Government
Taiwan APEC Representation
Closes Nov 20, 2026 1.5K open interestUS Corporate Tax
Closes Dec 31, 2026 +1 more · 370 open interestUS Top Marginal Income Tax
Closes Dec 31, 2026California Legalization Decision
Closes Dec 31, 2026Elected Official Resignation
Closes Jan 1, 2027 5.2K open interestEU AI Act Enforcement
Closes Dec 31, 2026Federal Legalization Decision
Closes Dec 31, 2026NIO Restriction Lift
Closes Dec 31, 2026
Conditional
+7 more · 995 open interestFed Decision Impact on CPI
Closes Oct 28, 2026 +4 more · 161 open interestSenate Majority Impact on S&P 500 Futures
Closes Dec 31, 2026Senate Majority Impact on US Recession
Closes Jan 4, 2027 +2 more · 10 open interestUnemployment Rate Impact on US Recession
Closes Jan 8, 2027 +3 more · 90 open interestHormuz Normalization Impact on US Gasoline Prices
Closes Apr 6, 2027
Technology
+3 moreBest AI Base Model
Closes Oct 31, 2026 +4 moreTop AI Model
Closes Oct 31, 2026 7 open interestAI Agent Autonomy
Closes Dec 31, 2026