Industry

Average Air Fares in the US Q4 2026

Average Air Fares in the US December 2026 · December 2026 · Trading open

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Show all 12 outcomes

About this market

No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.

Trading closes on Apr 24, 2027. The result is confirmed by Bureau of Transportation Statistics.

The average price of air fares in the US during a specified time period as reported in the Average Passenger Fares data by the Bureau of Transportation Statistics.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above 340Resolves Yes if average air fares exceeds $340 in Q4 2026 in the US.
  • Above 350Resolves Yes if average air fares exceeds $350 in Q4 2026 in the US.
  • Above 360Resolves Yes if average air fares exceeds $360 in Q4 2026 in the US.
  • Above 370Resolves Yes if average air fares exceeds $370 in Q4 2026 in the US.
  • Above 380Resolves Yes if average air fares exceeds $380 in Q4 2026 in the US.
  • Above 390Resolves Yes if average air fares exceeds $390 in Q4 2026 in the US.
Show rules for all 12 outcomes
  • Above 400Resolves Yes if average air fares exceeds $400 in Q4 2026 in the US.
  • Above 410Resolves Yes if average air fares exceeds $410 in Q4 2026 in the US.
  • Above 420Resolves Yes if average air fares exceeds $420 in Q4 2026 in the US.
  • Above 430Resolves Yes if average air fares exceeds $430 in Q4 2026 in the US.
  • Above 440Resolves Yes if average air fares exceeds $440 in Q4 2026 in the US.
  • Above 450Resolves Yes if average air fares exceeds $450 in Q4 2026 in the US? (Flights) (Flying) (Travel) (Airlines) (Aviation) (Passengers).

Result confirmed by Bureau of Transportation Statistics.

Trading opened
May 12, 2026
Trading closes
Apr 24, 2027
Expected result
Apr 24, 2027
Expected payout
Apr 24, 2027

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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.