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What will total US airline passengers be?

Total US Air Travel Passengers October 2026 · October 2026 · Trading open

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Show all 9 outcomes

About this market

No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.

Trading closes on Jan 12, 2027. The result is confirmed by Bureau of Transportation Statistics.

The number of total airline passengers in the US in a given month as reported in the Airline Traffic Data by the Bureau of Transportation Statistics.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above 77.4Resolves Yes if total US airline passengers exceeds 77.4 million in October 2026? (Flight) (Overseas) (Travel) (Airlines) (Tourism).
  • Above 78Resolves Yes if total US airline passengers exceeds 78 million in October 2026? (Flight) (Overseas) (Travel) (Airlines) (Tourism).
  • Above 78.6Resolves Yes if total US airline passengers exceeds 78.6 million in October 2026? (Flight) (Overseas) (Travel) (Airlines) (Tourism).
  • Above 79.2Resolves Yes if total US airline passengers exceeds 79.2 million in October 2026? (Flight) (Overseas) (Travel) (Airlines) (Tourism).
  • Above 79.8Resolves Yes if total US airline passengers exceeds 79.8 million in October 2026? (Flight) (Overseas) (Travel) (Airlines) (Tourism).
  • Above 80.4Resolves Yes if total US airline passengers exceeds 80.4 million in October 2026? (Flight) (Overseas) (Travel) (Airlines) (Tourism).
Show rules for all 9 outcomes
  • Above 81Resolves Yes if total US airline passengers exceeds 81 million in October 2026? (Flight) (Overseas) (Travel) (Airlines) (Tourism).
  • Above 81.6Resolves Yes if total US airline passengers exceeds 81.6 million in October 2026? (Flight) (Overseas) (Travel) (Airlines) (Tourism).
  • Above 82.2Resolves Yes if total US airline passengers exceeds 82.2 million in October 2026? (Flight) (Overseas) (Travel) (Airlines) (Tourism).

Result confirmed by Bureau of Transportation Statistics.

Trading opened
Sep 28, 2026
Trading closes
Jan 12, 2027
Expected result
Jan 12, 2027
Expected payout
Jan 12, 2027

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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.