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What will Year-over-year US Industrial Production be?

US Industrial Production October 2026 · October 2026 · Trading open

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About this market

No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.

Trading closes on Nov 17, 2026. The result is confirmed by U.S. Federal Reserve.

Year-over-year Industrial Production is a leading indicator of the health of the industrial sector in the economy. When production levels increase or decrease, it affects commodity prices, leading to clearer signals about market conditions.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above -1%Resolves Yes if Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceeds -1% in October 2026.
  • Above -2%Resolves Yes if Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceeds -2% in October 2026.
  • Above -3%Resolves Yes if Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceeds -3% in October 2026.
  • Above -4%Resolves Yes if Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceeds -4% in October 2026.
  • Above 0%Resolves Yes if Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceeds 0% in October 2026.
  • Above 1%Resolves Yes if Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceeds 1% in October 2026.
Show rules for all 9 outcomes
  • Above 2%Resolves Yes if Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceeds 2% in October 2026.
  • Above 3%Resolves Yes if Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceeds 3% in October 2026.
  • Above 4%Resolves Yes if Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceeds 4% in October 2026.

Result confirmed by U.S. Federal Reserve.

Trading opened
Aug 10, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 17, 2026
Expected result
Nov 17, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 17, 2026

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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.