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What will Year-over-year US Industrial Production be?

US Industrial Production December 2027 · December 2027 · Trading open

No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.

Show all 9 outcomes

About this market

No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.

Trading closes on Jan 17, 2028. The result is confirmed by U.S. Federal Reserve.

Year-over-year Industrial Production is a leading indicator of the health of the industrial sector in the economy. When production levels increase or decrease, it affects commodity prices, leading to clearer signals about market conditions.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above -10%Resolves Yes if Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceeds -10% in December 2027? (factory output) (manufacturing) (Fed data).
  • Above -12%Resolves Yes if Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceeds -12% in December 2027? (factory output) (manufacturing) (Fed data).
  • Above -2%Resolves Yes if Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceeds -2% in December 2027? (factory output) (manufacturing) (Fed data).
  • Above -4%Resolves Yes if Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceeds -4% in December 2027? (factory output) (manufacturing) (Fed data).
  • Above -6%Resolves Yes if Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceeds -6% in December 2027? (factory output) (manufacturing) (Fed data).
  • Above -8%Resolves Yes if Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceeds -8% in December 2027? (factory output) (manufacturing) (Fed data).
Show rules for all 9 outcomes
  • Above 0%Resolves Yes if Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceeds 0% in December 2027? (factory output) (manufacturing) (Fed data).
  • Above 2%Resolves Yes if Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceeds 2% in December 2027? (factory output) (manufacturing) (Fed data).
  • Above 4%Resolves Yes if Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceeds 4% in December 2027? (factory output) (manufacturing) (Fed data).

Result confirmed by U.S. Federal Reserve.

Trading opened
Oct 15, 2026
Trading closes
Jan 17, 2028
Expected result
Jan 17, 2028
Expected payout
Jan 17, 2028

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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.