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What will Year-over-year US Industrial Production be?

US Industrial Production December 2026 · December 2026 · Trading open

$5.4K vol.
Show all 13 outcomes

About this market

Traders price Above -14.5% at 99%, ahead of Above -10.5% at 96%.

The market has $5.4K in volume across 853 trades; the most recent was on Oct 21, 2026.

Trading closes on Jan 15, 2027. The result is confirmed by U.S. Federal Reserve.

Year-over-year Industrial Production is a leading indicator of the health of the industrial sector in the economy. When production levels increase or decrease, it affects commodity prices, leading to clearer signals about market conditions.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above -14.5%Resolves Yes if Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceeds -14.5% in December 2026.
  • Above -10.5%Resolves Yes if Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceeds -10.5% in December 2026.
  • Above -4.5Resolves Yes if Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceeds -4.5 in December 2026.
  • Above -8.5Resolves Yes if Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceeds -8.5 in December 2026.
  • Above -12.5%Resolves Yes if Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceeds -12.5% in December 2026.
  • Above -6.5Resolves Yes if Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceeds -6.5 in December 2026.
Show rules for all 13 outcomes
  • Above -2.5Resolves Yes if Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceeds -2.5 in December 2026.
  • Above 0.5Resolves Yes if Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceeds 0.5 in December 2026.
  • Above 4.5Resolves Yes if Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceeds 4.5 in December 2026.
  • Above 2.5Resolves Yes if Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceeds 2.5 in December 2026.
  • Above 6.5Resolves Yes if Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceeds 6.5 in December 2026.
  • Above 8.5Resolves Yes if Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceeds 8.5 in December 2026.
  • Above 10.5%Resolves Yes if Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceeds 10.5% in December 2026.

Result confirmed by U.S. Federal Reserve.

Trading opened
Jan 20, 2025
Trading closes
Jan 15, 2027
Expected result
Jan 15, 2027
Expected payout
Jan 15, 2027

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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.