Open an account
Industry

What will rail freight carloads be?

Total Freight Traffic from Carloads December 2026 · December 2026 · Trading open

$825 vol.
Show all 13 outcomes

About this market

Traders price 860000 at 94%, ahead of 880000 at 88%.

The market has $825 in volume across 250 trades; the most recent was on Sep 28, 2026.

Trading closes on Feb 12, 2027. The result is confirmed by Bureau of Transportation Statistics.

Rail freight carloads as reported in the Transportation Services Index by the Bureau of Transportation Statistics.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • 860000Resolves Yes if rail freight carloads exceeds 860,000 in December 2026.
  • 880000Resolves Yes if rail freight carloads exceeds 880,000 in December 2026.
  • 900000Resolves Yes if rail freight carloads exceeds 900,000 in December 2026.
  • 920000Resolves Yes if rail freight carloads exceeds 920,000 in December 2026.
  • 940000Resolves Yes if rail freight carloads exceeds 940,000 in December 2026.
  • 960000Resolves Yes if rail freight carloads exceeds 960,000 in December 2026.
Show rules for all 13 outcomes
  • 980000Resolves Yes if rail freight carloads exceeds 980,000 in December 2026.
  • 1000000Resolves Yes if rail freight carloads exceeds 1,000,000 in December 2026.
  • 1020000Resolves Yes if rail freight carloads exceeds 1,020,000 in December 2026.
  • 1040000Resolves Yes if rail freight carloads exceeds 1,040,000 in December 2026.
  • 1060000Resolves Yes if rail freight carloads exceeds 1,060,000 in December 2026.
  • 1080000Resolves Yes if rail freight carloads exceeds 1,080,000 in December 2026.
  • 1100000Resolves Yes if rail freight carloads exceeds 1,100,000 in December 2026.

Result confirmed by Bureau of Transportation Statistics.

Trading opened
Nov 3, 2025
Trading closes
Feb 12, 2027
Expected result
Feb 12, 2027
Expected payout
Feb 12, 2027

More Total Freight Traffic from Carloads markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.