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What will total US airline passengers be?

Total US Air Travel Passengers December 2026 · December 2026 · Trading open

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Show all 9 outcomes

About this market

No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.

Trading closes on Mar 15, 2027. The result is confirmed by Bureau of Transportation Statistics.

The number of total airline passengers in the US in a given month as reported in the Airline Traffic Data by the Bureau of Transportation Statistics.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above 75.6Resolves Yes if total US airline passengers exceeds 75.6 million in December 2026.
  • Above 76.8Resolves Yes if total US airline passengers exceeds 76.8 million in December 2026.
  • Above 78Resolves Yes if total US airline passengers exceeds 78 million in December 2026.
  • Above 79.2Resolves Yes if total US airline passengers exceeds 79.2 million in December 2026.
  • Above 80.4Resolves Yes if total US airline passengers exceeds 80.4 million in December 2026.
  • Above 81.6Resolves Yes if total US airline passengers exceeds 81.6 million in December 2026.
Show rules for all 9 outcomes
  • Above 82.8Resolves Yes if total US airline passengers exceeds 82.8 million in December 2026.
  • Above 84Resolves Yes if total US airline passengers exceeds 84 million in December 2026.
  • Above 85.2Resolves Yes if total US airline passengers exceeds 85.2 million in December 2026.

Result confirmed by Bureau of Transportation Statistics.

Trading opened
Dec 2, 2025
Trading closes
Mar 15, 2027
Expected result
Mar 15, 2027
Expected payout
Mar 15, 2027

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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.