Senate
Who will win the Alaska general election for US Senate in 2026?
Alaska Senate General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open
Mary Peltola72%
Daniel Sullivan30%$7.7K vol.
About this market
Traders price Mary Peltola at 72% to win, ahead of Daniel Sullivan at 30%.
The market has $7.7K in volume across 160 trades; the most recent was on Oct 15, 2026.
Trading closes on Dec 3, 2026. The result is confirmed by Alaska Division of Elections.
This race determines the outcome of the general election for US Senate in Alaska, shaping national legislative representation.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Mary PeltolaResolves Yes if Mary Peltola wins the Alaska general election for US Senate in 2026.
- Daniel SullivanResolves Yes if Daniel Sullivan wins the Alaska general election for US Senate in 2026.
- Ann DienerResolves Yes if Ann Diener wins the Alaska general election for US Senate in 2026.
- Richard GraysonResolves Yes if Richard Grayson wins the Alaska general election for US Senate in 2026.
Result confirmed by Alaska Division of Elections.
- Trading opened
- Jan 23, 2026
- Trading closes
- Dec 3, 2026
- Expected result
- Dec 3, 2026
- Expected payout
- Dec 3, 2026
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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.