Senate
Who will win the Arkansas general election for US Senate in 2026?
Arkansas Senate General Election 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open
Tom Cotton94%
Hallie Shoffner8%$930 vol.
About this market
Traders price Tom Cotton at 94% to win, ahead of Hallie Shoffner at 8%.
The market has $930 in volume across 22 trades; the most recent was on Oct 4, 2026.
Trading closes on Dec 18, 2026. The result is confirmed by Arkansas Secretary of State Elections Division.
This race determines the outcome of the general election for US Senate in Arkansas, shaping national legislative representation.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Tom CottonResolves Yes if Tom Cotton wins the Arkansas general election for US Senate in 2026.
- Hallie ShoffnerResolves Yes if Hallie Shoffner wins the Arkansas general election for US Senate in 2026.
Result confirmed by Arkansas Secretary of State Elections Division.
- Trading opened
- Jan 23, 2026
- Trading closes
- Dec 18, 2026
- Expected result
- Dec 18, 2026
- Expected payout
- Dec 18, 2026
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2.1K open interest
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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.