Broad Elections
Ballot Measures in California November 3 2026
Ballot Measures in California 2026 · Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open
$299 vol.
About this market
Traders price Billionaire Tax Act- Initiative #25-0024A1 at 36%, ahead of Initiative #1984 at 28%.
The market has $299 in volume across 18 trades; the most recent was on Oct 23, 2026.
Trading closes on Dec 11, 2026. The result is confirmed by California Secretary of State Elections Division.
The underlying is whether the specified ballot measure passes in California during the specified election.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Billionaire Tax Act- Initiative #25-0024A1Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will Initiative #25-0024A1 (2026 Billionaire Tax Act) pass in California in 2026?” is yes.
- Initiative #1984Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will Initiative #1984 (Voter Identification and Citizenship Verification Requirements) pass in California in 2026?” is yes.
Result confirmed by California Secretary of State Elections Division.
- Trading opened
- Apr 30, 2026
- Trading closes
- Dec 11, 2026
- Expected result
- Dec 11, 2026
- Expected payout
- Dec 11, 2026
More California elections
24.2K open interest
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.